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Compass Diversified's (NYSE:CODI) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 12 06:25

Compass Diversified's (NYSE:CODI) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Diversified Financial industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CODI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 12th 2024

How Has Compass Diversified Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Compass Diversified as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Compass Diversified will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Compass Diversified?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Compass Diversified's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.3% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.002% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 1.4%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Compass Diversified's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It's clear to see that Compass Diversified maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Compass Diversified (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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