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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As KINGSEMI Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688037) Shares Dive 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 6 20:04

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the KINGSEMI Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688037) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, KINGSEMI's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.8x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 24x and even P/E's below 15x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, KINGSEMI has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688037 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 7th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think KINGSEMI's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For KINGSEMI?

KINGSEMI's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 55%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 225% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 42% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that KINGSEMI is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From KINGSEMI's P/E?

Even after such a strong price drop, KINGSEMI's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that KINGSEMI currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for KINGSEMI that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than KINGSEMI. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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