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Benign Growth For Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ:KALU) Underpins Its Share Price

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 6 10:00

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ:KALU) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:KALU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 6th 2024

What Does Kaiser Aluminum's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Kaiser Aluminum as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Kaiser Aluminum's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kaiser Aluminum's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.2%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 147% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.2% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Kaiser Aluminum's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Kaiser Aluminum's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Kaiser Aluminum's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kaiser Aluminum (2 make us uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kaiser Aluminum's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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