share_log

Investors in Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Have Seen Solid Returns of 218% Over the Past Five Years

Investors in Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Have Seen Solid Returns of 218% Over the Past Five Years

在過去五年中,聯邦農業抵押貸款(紐約證券交易所代碼:AGM)的投資者實現了218%的穩健回報
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 09:16

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. One great example is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (NYSE:AGM) which saw its share price drive 165% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 18% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 13% in the last three months.

任何股票(假設你不使用槓桿)的最大損失是你的資金的100%。但簡而言之,一家好的公司的股價可以上漲超過100%。一個很好的例子是聯邦農業抵押貸款公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AGM),其股價在五年內上漲了165%。同樣令股東高興的是過去三個月的18%的漲幅。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,市場在過去三個月中上漲了13%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During five years of share price growth, Federal Agricultural Mortgage achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 22% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在五年的股價增長中,聯邦農業抵押貸款實現了每年12%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。每股收益的增長低於同期每年22%的股價增長。因此,可以公平地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。考慮到增長的記錄,這並不令人震驚。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AGM Earnings Per Share Growth February 6th 2024
紐約證券交易所:股東周年大會每股收益增長 2024年2月6日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Federal Agricultural Mortgage's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我們一樣,內部人士在過去的十二個月中一直在購買股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。查看這張聯邦農業抵押貸款收益、收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Federal Agricultural Mortgage the TSR over the last 5 years was 218%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,聯邦農業抵押貸款在過去5年的股東總回報率爲218%,好於上述股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Federal Agricultural Mortgage has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 41% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 26%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Federal Agricultural Mortgage , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到聯邦農業抵押貸款在過去十二個月中向股東提供了41%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即26%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了聯邦農業抵押貸款的1個警告信號,我們知道它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Federal Agricultural Mortgage is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

聯邦農業抵押貸款並不是內部人士購買的唯一股票。對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論