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Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300983) 29% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 18:02

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300983) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 30% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Shanghai Urban Architecture Design as a stock not worth researching with its 6.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300983 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

How Has Shanghai Urban Architecture Design Performed Recently?

For instance, Shanghai Urban Architecture Design's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shanghai Urban Architecture Design's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 56% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 85% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Urban Architecture Design is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Shanghai Urban Architecture Design's P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Shanghai Urban Architecture Design's very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Urban Architecture Design currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shanghai Urban Architecture Design (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Urban Architecture Design, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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