Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002540) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 64%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 111% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 12% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jiangsu Asia-Pacific Light Alloy Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.