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Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine Incorporated Company's (SHSE:603819) 30% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 17:15

Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine Incorporated Company (SHSE:603819) shares have had a horrible month, losing 30% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S ratio of 1.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electrical industry in China is also close to 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603819 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine looks to be in line with the rest of the Electrical industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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