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Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's (SHSE:600527 Three-year Decrease in Earnings Delivers Investors With a 23% Loss

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 20:02

Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600527) is down 32% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -23% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 29% over the last three years. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 17% in thirty days. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 15% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.

After losing 14% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 37% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 12% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 47.69.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600527 Earnings Per Share Growth February 4th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd, it has a TSR of -23% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Although it hurts that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd returned a loss of 19% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 26%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 3% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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