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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603718) Shares After Tumbling 31%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 19:27

The Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603718) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 26x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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SHSE:603718 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 4th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 198%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 42% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

There's still some solid strength behind Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology's P/E, if not its share price lately. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai Hile Bio-Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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