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Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300649) Shares May Have Slumped 29% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 20:06

Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300649) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300649 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute Has Been Performing

For instance, Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 54% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Despite the recent share price weakness, Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hangzhou Landscape Architecture Design Institute.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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