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It's Down 25% But Shanghai Holystar Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688330) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:32

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shanghai Holystar Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688330) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 58% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shanghai Holystar Information Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 50x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Shanghai Holystar Information Technology has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

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SHSE:688330 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Holystar Information Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Shanghai Holystar Information Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Shanghai Holystar Information Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 66% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 54% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Shanghai Holystar Information Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Holystar Information Technology's P/E

Shanghai Holystar Information Technology's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Holystar Information Technology currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai Holystar Information Technology that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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