Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) shares have had a horrible month, losing 34% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Shenyang Chemical Industry may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Shenyang Chemical Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenyang Chemical Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Shenyang Chemical Industry will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenyang Chemical Industry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Shenyang Chemical Industry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 49% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we are not surprised that Shenyang Chemical Industry is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Shenyang Chemical Industry's P/S
Shenyang Chemical Industry's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Chemicals companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shenyang Chemical Industry revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Shenyang Chemical Industry (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenyang Chemical Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.