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Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002084) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 28% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:28

The Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002084) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Building industry have P/S ratios above 1.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002084 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 5.5% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products' P/S

The southerly movements of Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's no surprise that Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Seagull Kitchen and Bath Products you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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