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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300359) Shares

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 00:09

It's not a stretch to say that Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300359) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Software industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300359 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

What Does Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 8.2% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd with six simple checks.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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