Pinming Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688109) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 4.8% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Pinming Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Software industry is similar at about 4.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Pinming Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Pinming Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Pinming Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Pinming Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.9%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 12% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 35% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Pinming Technology's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Pinming Technology's P/S?
Pinming Technology's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Pinming Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Pinming Technology that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.