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LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002717) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:21

LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002717) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002717 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd?

LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 66% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Construction industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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