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Benign Growth For Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002365) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:07

Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002365) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.1x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002365 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 8.8% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Pharmaceuticals companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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