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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300641) 27% Share Price Plunge

なぜ投資家は江蘇正丹化学工業(SZSE:300641)の株価が27%下落したことに驚かないべきか

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 18:09

The Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 24% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300641 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 25%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 17% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S?

The southerly movements of Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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