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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Dagang Holding Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300103) Shares After Tumbling 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:49

The Dagang Holding Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300103) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 28% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Dagang Holding GroupLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300103 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Dagang Holding GroupLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Dagang Holding GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dagang Holding GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dagang Holding GroupLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dagang Holding GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 55%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 79% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dagang Holding GroupLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Dagang Holding GroupLtd's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, Dagang Holding GroupLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Dagang Holding GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Dagang Holding GroupLtd that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dagang Holding GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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