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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Jiangsu Jinling Sports Equipment Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300651) Shares Dive 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:42

The Jiangsu Jinling Sports Equipment Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300651) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd may still be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300651 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 109%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 18% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 42% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd's P/E?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Jinling Sports EquipmentLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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