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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300478) Shares After Tumbling 35%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:05

Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300478) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 35% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 3.7% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300478 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.0%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 21% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' P/S?

Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials' P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hangzhou Gaoxin Rubber & Plastic Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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