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Hangzhou Kelin Electric Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688611) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

杭州科林电气股份有限公司(SHSE:688611)株は低迷しています:根本的な問題が原因ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  01/31 19:09

With its stock down 27% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Hangzhou Kelin Electric (SHSE:688611). We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Kelin Electric

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Kelin Electric is:

6.1% = CN¥50m ÷ CN¥818m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.06 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hangzhou Kelin Electric's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

On the face of it, Hangzhou Kelin Electric's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.1%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But Hangzhou Kelin Electric saw a five year net income decline of 8.1% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

However, when we compared Hangzhou Kelin Electric's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 14% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688611 Past Earnings Growth February 1st 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Hangzhou Kelin Electric Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 57% (implying that 43% of the profits are retained), most of Hangzhou Kelin Electric's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Hangzhou Kelin Electric.

Additionally, Hangzhou Kelin Electric started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

Conclusion

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Hangzhou Kelin Electric. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Hangzhou Kelin Electric's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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