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Tinavi Medical Technologies Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688277) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:15

The Tinavi Medical Technologies Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688277) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 32% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 21.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688277 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Has Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 52% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 10% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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