Jinhua Chunguang Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603657) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd's P/E ratio of 26.5x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 29x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
See our latest analysis for Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd
Is There Some Growth For Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 53% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 156% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 42% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd looks quite average now. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Jinhua Chunguang TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.