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Not Many Are Piling Into Douglas Elliman Inc. (NYSE:DOUG) Stock Yet As It Plummets 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 05:27

Douglas Elliman Inc. (NYSE:DOUG) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Douglas Elliman may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Douglas Elliman

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DOUG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Douglas Elliman's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Douglas Elliman's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think Douglas Elliman's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Douglas Elliman would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 23% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.6%, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Douglas Elliman's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Douglas Elliman's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Douglas Elliman's revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Douglas Elliman that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Douglas Elliman, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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