share_log

Guangdong Fuxin Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688662) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 29 17:34

The Guangdong Fuxin Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688662) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 8.4% over that longer period.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Guangdong Fuxin Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Fuxin Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688662 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 29th 2024

What Does Guangdong Fuxin Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Guangdong Fuxin Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Fuxin Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Guangdong Fuxin Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

Guangdong Fuxin Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 38% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Guangdong Fuxin Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Guangdong Fuxin Technology's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Guangdong Fuxin Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Guangdong Fuxin Technology trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Fuxin Technology (including 2 which are potentially serious).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong Fuxin Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment