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Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE:GNE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 31%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 28 08:27

Genie Energy Ltd. (NYSE:GNE) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 31% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 87% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may still consider Genie Energy as an attractive investment with its 10.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Earnings have risen firmly for Genie Energy recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Genie Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GNE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 28th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Genie Energy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Genie Energy?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Genie Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 254% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it odd that Genie Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Genie Energy's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Genie Energy currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Genie Energy has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Genie Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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