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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Yunhong Green CTI Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:YHGJ) Shares After Tumbling 31%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 27 07:36

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Yunhong Green CTI Ltd. (NASDAQ:YHGJ) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.7x, you may still consider Yunhong Green CTI as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Yunhong Green CTI

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:YHGJ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 27th 2024

How Has Yunhong Green CTI Performed Recently?

For instance, Yunhong Green CTI's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Yunhong Green CTI, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Yunhong Green CTI's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Yunhong Green CTI would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 38% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 1.1% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Yunhong Green CTI's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Yunhong Green CTI's P/S Mean For Investors?

There's still some elevation in Yunhong Green CTI's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Yunhong Green CTI revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Yunhong Green CTI (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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