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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Changyou Alliance Group Limited's (HKG:1039) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 26 17:30

The Changyou Alliance Group Limited (HKG:1039) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Changyou Alliance Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Diversified Financial industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Changyou Alliance Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1039 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 26th 2024

What Does Changyou Alliance Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Changyou Alliance Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Changyou Alliance Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changyou Alliance Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changyou Alliance Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Changyou Alliance Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 41% gain to the company's top line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Changyou Alliance Group's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Changyou Alliance Group's P/S

The southerly movements of Changyou Alliance Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Changyou Alliance Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Changyou Alliance Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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