Pro-Dex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDEX) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 24% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, Pro-Dex may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been pleasing for Pro-Dex as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Pro-Dex
How Is Pro-Dex's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Pro-Dex's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 7.0% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 23% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Pro-Dex is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Pro-Dex's P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Pro-Dex's P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Pro-Dex's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Pro-Dex.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pro-Dex, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.