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Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002671) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 25 17:39

Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002671) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 4.7% over the last twelve months.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Basic Materials industry have P/S ratios below 1.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002671 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 25th 2024

How Has Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 23% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's P/S?

There's still some elevation in Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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