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Kong Sun Holdings Limited's (HKG:295) 46% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 24 17:53

Kong Sun Holdings Limited (HKG:295) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 46% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 67% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Kong Sun Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Renewable Energy industry is similar at about 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Kong Sun Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:295 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

What Does Kong Sun Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Kong Sun Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kong Sun Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kong Sun Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Kong Sun Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 70% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.4% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Kong Sun Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Kong Sun Holdings' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Kong Sun Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Renewable Energy industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Kong Sun Holdings revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Kong Sun Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kong Sun Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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