Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301315) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.8x, you may consider Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 18.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology
How Has Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology Performed Recently?
Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 46% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Wisdom Information Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.