There wouldn't be many who think Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002452) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 30x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Changgao Electric Group has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Changgao Electric Group
Is There Some Growth For Changgao Electric Group?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Changgao Electric Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.0% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 116% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 42%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Changgao Electric Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Changgao Electric Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Changgao Electric Group with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Changgao Electric Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.