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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002910)

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 23:26

It's not a stretch to say that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002910) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Food industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002910 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

How Has Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.1% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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