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There's Reason For Concern Over Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001226) Price

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 17:45

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Machinery industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001226) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 4.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:001226 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

How Has Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 28% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 29% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Having said that, be aware Anhui Tuoshan Heavy Industry is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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