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First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 05:27

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Hospitality industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FWRG) P/S ratio of 1.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for First Watch Restaurant Group

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NasdaqGS:FWRG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

How First Watch Restaurant Group Has Been Performing

First Watch Restaurant Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think First Watch Restaurant Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is First Watch Restaurant Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like First Watch Restaurant Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 143% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that First Watch Restaurant Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does First Watch Restaurant Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Looking at First Watch Restaurant Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for First Watch Restaurant Group that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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