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Improved Revenues Required Before Katapult Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:KPLT) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 23 05:20

Katapult Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:KPLT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 57% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Katapult Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Consumer Finance industry have P/S ratios above 1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Katapult Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:KPLT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 23rd 2024

How Katapult Holdings Has Been Performing

Katapult Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think Katapult Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Katapult Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Katapult Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.4%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with revenue growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 32% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Katapult Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Katapult Holdings' P/S

Despite Katapult Holdings' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Katapult Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 7 warning signs for Katapult Holdings (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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