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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As North Long Dragon New Materials Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301357) Shares Dive 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 19 17:13

The North Long Dragon New Materials Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301357) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Although its price has dipped substantially, North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 23.7x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 7.6x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for North Long Dragon New Materials Tech

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301357 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

What Does North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for North Long Dragon New Materials Tech, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 53%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 53% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 48% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that North Long Dragon New Materials Tech is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, North Long Dragon New Materials Tech's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that North Long Dragon New Materials Tech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for North Long Dragon New Materials Tech (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on North Long Dragon New Materials Tech, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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