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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Baozun Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BZUN) 27% Price Drop

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 19 05:37

The Baozun Inc. (NASDAQ:BZUN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 73% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Baozun may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Multiline Retail industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Baozun

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:BZUN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

What Does Baozun's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Baozun could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Baozun will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Baozun?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Baozun would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.8%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.0% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Baozun's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Baozun's P/S

Baozun's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Multiline Retail companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Baozun maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Baozun that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Baozun, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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