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Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002167) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 19 01:09

When close to half the companies in the Chemicals industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002167) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002167 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2024

What Does Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The recent revenue growth at Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.2%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 116% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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