share_log

What Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Limited's (HKG:1235) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 18 17:03

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises Limited (HKG:1235) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1235 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

What Does Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 31% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises' P/S?

Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Travel Expert (Asia) Enterprises that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment