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Is The Market Rewarding Hunan Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000722) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding Hunan Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000722) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由於湖南發展集團有限公司(SZSE: 000722)基本面喜憂參半,市場是否對湖南發展集團有限公司(SZSE: 000722)產生負面情緒?
Simply Wall St ·  01/17 19:53

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hunan Development Group's (SZSE:000722) recent performance, when its stock has declined 14% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Specifically, we decided to study Hunan Development Group's ROE in this article.

看了湖南發展集團(SZSE: 000722)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時該集團的股票在過去一個月中下跌了14%。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究湖南發展集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

See our latest analysis for Hunan Development Group

查看我們對湖南發展集團的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hunan Development Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,湖南發展集團的投資回報率爲:

0.6% = CN¥20m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

0.6% = 2,000萬元人民幣 ÷ 32億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的利潤。對此進行概念化的一種方法是,該公司每擁有1元人民幣的股本即可獲得0.01元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Hunan Development Group's Earnings Growth And 0.6% ROE

湖南發展集團的收益增長和0.6%的投資回報率的並排比較

It is hard to argue that Hunan Development Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.1%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Hunan Development Group's five year net income decline of 12% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很難說湖南發展集團的投資回報率本身就非常好。不僅如此,即使與7.1%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。出於這個原因,鑑於其投資回報率較低,湖南發展集團五年淨收入下降12%並不奇怪。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,該企業的資本分配不佳,或者該公司的派息率非常高。

However, when we compared Hunan Development Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 6.4% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將湖南發展集團的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了6.4%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000722 Past Earnings Growth January 18th 2024
SZSE: 000722 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 18 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Hunan Development Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。如果你想知道湖南發展集團的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is Hunan Development Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

湖南發展集團是否在有效使用其留存收益?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

儘管該公司過去確實支付了部分股息,但目前不支付股息。這意味着其所有利潤都可能被再投資於該業務。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hunan Development Group can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Hunan Development Group.

總的來說,我們認爲湖南發展集團的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲湖南發展集團確定的三種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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