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Compass Minerals International, Inc. (NYSE:CMP) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 17 13:42

The Compass Minerals International, Inc. (NYSE:CMP) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Compass Minerals International may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Compass Minerals International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CMP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 17th 2024

How Has Compass Minerals International Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Compass Minerals International's and the industry's retreating revenue lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Compass Minerals International will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Compass Minerals International?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Compass Minerals International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.2%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.6% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.2% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 592% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Compass Minerals International is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Compass Minerals International's P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Compass Minerals International's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Compass Minerals International maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Compass Minerals International (including 2 which are potentially serious).

If you're unsure about the strength of Compass Minerals International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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