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What Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600819) 35% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 16 17:11

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600819) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in China is also close to 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600819 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 16th 2024

What Does Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 29% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 17% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Shanghai Yaohua Pilkington Glass Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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