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Lifecome Biochemistry Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002868) Shares Climb 31% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 15 17:18

Lifecome Biochemistry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002868) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 52% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Lifecome BiochemistryLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Biotechs industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 7.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Lifecome BiochemistryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002868 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 15th 2024

What Does Lifecome BiochemistryLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Lifecome BiochemistryLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lifecome BiochemistryLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Lifecome BiochemistryLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 43%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 52% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 842% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Lifecome BiochemistryLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Lifecome BiochemistryLtd's P/S?

Lifecome BiochemistryLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Lifecome BiochemistryLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Lifecome BiochemistryLtd (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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