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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For CHYY Development Group Limited's (HKG:8128) Shares After Tumbling 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 15 17:14

CHYY Development Group Limited (HKG:8128) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 3.9% during the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may still consider CHYY Development Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for CHYY Development Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8128 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 15th 2024

How CHYY Development Group Has Been Performing

It looks like revenue growth has deserted CHYY Development Group recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on CHYY Development Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For CHYY Development Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as CHYY Development Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 64% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that CHYY Development Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does CHYY Development Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

There's still some elevation in CHYY Development Group's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that CHYY Development Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CHYY Development Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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