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Shanghai New World Co., Ltd (SHSE:600628) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shanghai New World Co., Ltd (SHSE:600628) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

上海新世界有限公司(SHSE: 600628)股票走強但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  01/10 19:09

Shanghai New World's (SHSE:600628) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai New World's ROE today.

上海新世界(上海證券交易所代碼:600628)的股票在過去一週上漲了12%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。特別是,我們今天將關注上海新世界的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai New World

查看我們對上海新世界的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for ROE is:

投資回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai New World is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海新世界的投資回報率爲:

0.8% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

0.8% = 3200萬元人民幣 ÷ 42億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1元人民幣,就會產生0.01元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。我們現在需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Shanghai New World's Earnings Growth And 0.8% ROE

上海新世界的收益增長和0.8%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that Shanghai New World's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 8.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 47% seen by Shanghai New World over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很明顯,上海新世界的投資回報率相當低。即使與8.5%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。在這種情況下,上海新世界在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降了47%,這並不奇怪。但是,可能還有其他因素導致收益下降。例如,該企業的資本分配不佳,或者該公司的派息率非常高。

That being said, we compared Shanghai New World's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 11% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將上海新世界的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以11%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600628 Past Earnings Growth January 11th 2024
SHSE: 600628 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 11 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai New World fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。與其他公司相比,上海新世界的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Shanghai New World Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海新世界是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Shanghai New World has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲31%(保留了69%的利潤),但如上所示,上海新世界的收益卻有所下降。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

In addition, Shanghai New World has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,上海新世界至少十年來一直在派發股息,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai New World can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai New World.

總的來說,我們認爲上海新世界的表演可以有多種解讀。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲上海新世界確定的兩種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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