XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000425) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 7 22:21

XCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000425) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 63x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, XCMG Construction Machinery has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for XCMG Construction Machinery

SZSE:000425 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on XCMG Construction Machinery.

How Is XCMG Construction Machinery's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as XCMG Construction Machinery's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 6.8% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 68% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 43%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that XCMG Construction Machinery is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From XCMG Construction Machinery's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of XCMG Construction Machinery's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - XCMG Construction Machinery has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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