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Sichuan Hongda Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600331) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 5 17:56

Sichuan Hongda Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600331) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in China have P/S ratios below 1.4x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Sichuan HongdaLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600331 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2024

How Sichuan HongdaLtd Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Sichuan HongdaLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sichuan HongdaLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sichuan HongdaLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Sichuan HongdaLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 37% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 17% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan HongdaLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Sichuan HongdaLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Sichuan HongdaLtd that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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